Fame, fortune, and real estate investment shaped the world's top '12 cities.'
New York and London have been ranked as the world's leading international cities, according to a new research by international real estate advisor Savills called 12 Cities. apartment for sale in pearl qatar
Cities are classified by Savills based on
their popularity and fame, as well as their economy and size; elements that
will influence the cross-border investability of their real estate, as well as
their existing 'world class' city status.
1. New York is ranked first in Savills'
global '12 Cities' list.
Shanghai is number seven on the list.
8. Dubai 2. London
9. Sydney 3. Paris
10. Mumbai 4. Singapore
Hong Kong is the number five.
Moscow, number eleven.
Tokyo is ranked number six, while Rio de
Janeiro is ranked number twelve.
The Savills' 'X-Factor' world city
characterisation used a mixture of global competitiveness, connectivity,
foreign tourists, and online search data to assess overall world city
classification in 12 cities. Using these parameters, Singapore and Paris begin
to challenge New York and London, while Moscow, Mumbai, and Rio de Janeiro are
less-established global leaders in the top tier of twelve cities studied.
"Our definition of a world city is
based on a number of less visible qualities, not only size or economic
prosperity," explains Yolande Barnes, director of Savills World Research.
"These factors include notoriety, prominence, international reach, and
investability, all of which cannot be determined solely by population and GDP
data. These intangibles have an impact on a city's appeal to businesses and
wealth creators, which determines the rate of residential and commercial real
estate market expansion and contraction, as well as market stability."
"The redrawing of the global economic
map is affecting real estate markets significantly. The expansion of 'new
world' economies, such as China and India, has recently slowed, but older
industrialized economies, such as the United States, the United Kingdom, and
Japan, are currently recovering more quickly than many analysts expected."
"As a result, the 'new world' cities'
explosive real estate boom has slowed and, in some cases, reversed, as in
Mumbai and prime Hong Kong. Dubai's high-growth real estate center exemplifies
the strength of investment markets in emerging regions. Its resurgence reflects
a market that has recovered from severe price adjustments following the
financial crisis of 2008."
Investment Indicators
The Savills X-Factor overall city
classification may not necessarily represent traditional economic or real
estate costs and values, but it does speak to a world metropolitan
destination's long-term stability and attractiveness. The top three X-factor
cities are likewise in the top four for residential real estate investors, but
they are also in the top four for employee live-work prices.
Savills has compared gross rental income to
the income available from 10-year government bonds in each country to create a
'net of gilt' yield to better understand the genuine attraction of residential
and commercial real estate as an asset class in each metropolis. They claim
that this provides a realistic gauge of real estate performance in comparison
to the risk environment in the area.
By this metric, Tokyo offers the best bond
returns, and it has begun to attract more daring investors who recognize the
unique characteristics and hazards of Japanese real estate markets. New York,
too, has relatively attractive gross yields, which has piqued investor
interest.
Savills identifies Hong Kong, Shanghai,
and, most significantly, Mumbai residential real estate values as most
vulnerable to adjustment in its report Taking Market Temperature In 12 Cities.
New York and Sydney appear to be the markets with the most room for expansion,
while London and Dubai residential pricing, particularly in the cities' prime
markets, tend to be higher than average, but still lag behind the hottest
cities.
"Investors are now attracted to
non-prime mainstream home stock," Barnes says. "London's mainstream
values appear cool on a global scale, whereas Dubai and Hong Kong appear to be more
fully valued. Over the next five years, we expect secondary and even tertiary
markets in our global locations to outperform prime."
The worldwide expansion in asset values
will surely decrease as the tapering and eventual collapse of quantitative easing
takes effect. Rental and capital growth are expected to re-align in the future.
We predict the biggest stress in
overstretched markets in the short term in Asia, as bond yields and interest
rates are more likely to rise there than in the industrialized West.
Some second-tier cities, which are not yet
included in our list of the world's top twelve cities, offer good value and may
begin to gain traction among investors. Istanbul, Hanoi, Kuala Lumpur, Jakarta,
and Bangkok, as well as many more significant, second-tier cities in the same
nations, are among the cities Barnes recommends keeping an eye on (that few in
the West will ever have heard of).
The following are some of the key findings
from the 12 Cities report:
New York and London are ranked first and second,
respectively, in Savills' world city X-factor rankings. Paris and Singapore are
ranked third.
Residential real estate investment yields
are ranked first in Tokyo, second in New York, and third in Paris, with the
lowest returns in Mumbai, Moscow, and Rio.
Commercial real estate investment yields
are ranked first in Tokyo, second in Sydney, and third in Paris; commercial
real estate investment yields in Shanghai, Mumbai, Dubai, and Rio are all
lagging gilts.
Costs of both the office and the home totaled:
First place goes to Hong Kong, second place goes to London, and third place
goes to Paris.
Getting a feel for the market:
Mumbai, Hong Kong, and Shanghai are the
three most active marketplaces.
New York, Sydney, and Moscow are among the
most exciting marketplaces.
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